Milwaukee Bucks vs. Golden State Warriors Odds, Analysis, NBA Betting Pick

PORTLAND, OR - NOVEMBER 6: A close up shot of the back of Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 of the Milwaukee Bucks during the game against the Portland Trail Blazers on November 6, 2018 at the Moda Center in Portland, Oregon. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this Photograph, user is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2018 NBAE (Photo by Sam Forencich/NBAE via Getty Images)

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The Golden State Warriors (10-1) will be gunning for their ninth straight victory on Thursday when they host the Milwaukee Bucks (8-2) as large home favorites at sportsbooks. The Warriors are a perfect 6-0 straight up at home this season, and they have covered their last four games overall, according to the OddsShark NBA Database.

NBA point spread: The Warriors opened as 7.5-point favorites; the total is at 234.5, according to sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark. (Line updates and matchup report)

NBA betting pick, via OddsShark computer: 117.5-110.9, Warriors (NBA picks on every game)

Check out the OddsShark podcast on iTunes or Spotify or at OddsShark.libsyn.com for more odds information, betting picks and a breakdown of this week’s top sports betting news.

Why the Bucks can cover the spread

Golden State will be without its top defensive player, as forward Draymond Green will miss this game due to a foot injury. That means Milwaukee’s Giannis Antetokounmpo (25.8 points per game) should be able to dominate whoever he is matched up against. Antetokounmpo has averaged 27.3 points in three games since missing a 124-109 win over the Toronto Raptors on October 29 because he was in the league’s concussion protocol, so all looks to be well.

The Bucks kicked off a four-game west coast road trip with a 118-103 loss to the Portland Trail Blazers as two-point favorites on Tuesday, but they have not lost or failed to cover the spread in consecutive games this year.

Why the Warriors can cover the spread

The two-time defending NBA champion Warriors have proven lately that motivation and health will determine how many games they win and cover this season. As long as they can stay healthy, they will remain strong favorites for a three-peat and can basically beat the number whenever they feel like it.

At least that is how it seems right now, anyway. This team has been so good in covering seven of eight during its current winning streak that few remember an 0-3 start against the spread. Even with Green out, Golden State still has the ability to cover quickly based on its NBA-leading offense.

Smart betting pick

These are the two best offensive teams in the league, making for an intriguing matchup and featuring a few of the top MVP candidates. Antetokounmpo will get to take his shot at beating the Warriors, and he has shown that he can carry his team on the road, with Milwaukee hanging in there against the Boston Celtics in a 117-113 loss a week ago despite giving up 24 three-pointers. The Bucks will keep this one close too and cover.

NBA betting trends

Milwaukee is 5-2 ATS in its last seven games.

The total has gone over in 19 of Milwaukee’s last 25 games.

The total has gone over in five of Golden State’s last seven games.

All NBA odds and betting trends according to Bleacher Report’s official odds partner, OddsShark. Check out OddsShark on Twitter and Instagram or head to YouTube for more betting picks and analysis on this week’s top games. You can also download the free odds tracker app.

NBA News

via Bleacher Report – NBA https://ift.tt/2gMI6gF

November 8, 2018 at 04:15AM

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