Preakness Picks 2018: Predictions and Odds for All Horses in the Lineup

Preakness Picks 2018: Predictions and Odds for All Horses in the Lineup

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Trainer Bob Baffert walks Kentucky Derby winner Justify in a barn, Wednesday, May 16, 2018, after Justify's arrival at Pimlico Race Course in Baltimore. The Preakness Stakes horse race is scheduled to take place May 19. (AP Photo/Patrick Semansky)

Patrick Semansky/Associated Press

The field for Saturday’s Preakness Stakes is less than half of the 20 horses that raced at the Kentucky Derby. 

With fewer horses set to start the second leg of the Triple Crown, you would think Justify is in great shape to win his second race in a row and go for horse racing’s top honor on June 9 at the Belmont Stakes. 

Justify is understandably the heavy favorite entering the Preakness, but there are other horses with impressive resumes that could make life difficult for the Kentucky Derby champion at Pimlico Race Course in Baltimore. 

Of the seven horses lining up alongside Justify, three of them competed in the Kentucky Derby, while the other four enter with fresher legs following extended breaks. 

        

Odds (via OddsShark)

Justify (-250; Bet $100 to win $250) 

Good Magic (+300; Bet $100 to win $300) 

Diamond King (+1600) 

Quip (+1600) 

Bravazo (+1800) 

Sporting Chance (+2200) 

Tenfold (+2500) 

Lone Sailor (+2500) 

      

Predictions

1. Justify 

2. Good Magic 

3. Quip

4. Bravazo

5. Lone Sailor

6. Diamond King

7. Sporting Chance

8. Tenfold 

      

Favorites Should Be At Front Of Field

This isn’t the news bettors looking to make more money than expected want to hear, but there’s a good chance Justify and Good Magic sit atop the pack for most of the Preakness Stakes. 

Since the list of challengers is slim, the pair of favorites have an opportunity to run the races they like to while holding off any darkhorse candidates for a victory. 

Just like he did at the Kentucky Derby, Justify begins the race from post No. 7, while Good Magic sits two positions to his left at post No. 5. 

If the two horses link up out of the gates, it could be bad news for the underdogs trying to spoil the Triple Crown dream of Justify. 

John Minchillo/Associated Press

Good Magic produced a solid race at Churchill Downs, but he was unable to unseat Justify down the final stretch. 

If Justify appears as dominant as he was two weeks ago, Good Magic could be relegated to runner-up for the second consecutive week. 

Since the odds on both horses are low, the best chance to make money off them is to include them in trifecta or superfecta wagers. 

By adding horses with longer odds to projections of the top three or four finishers, the payout grows, and with a small number of competitors to choose from, that could come fairly easy to some. 

        

Other 2 Kentucky Derby Participants Try To Make Impact On Race 

The Preakness Stakes presents Bravazo and Lone Sailor with what is likely their last chance to win a Triple Crown race. 

Traditionally horses don’t compete in each leg of the Triple Crown if they aren’t victorious, which means Bravazo and Lone Sailor could go all out with nothing to lose Saturday. 

Bravazo took sixth at Churchill Downs, while Lone Sailor ended up in eighth, and although they finished ahead of favorites Mendelssohn and Magnum Moon, they didn’t pose a significant challenge to Justify or Good Magic. 

LOUISVILLE, KY - APRIL 30: Bravazo, trained by D. Wayne Lukas, exercises in preparation for the Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs on April 30, 2018 in Louisville, Kentucky. (Photo by Scott Serio/Eclipse Sportswire/Getty Images)

Eclipse Sportswire/Getty Images

Since both horses have experience from running in a big race like the Kentucky Derby, their trainers and jockeys could opt to be more aggressive in a raucous environment similar to Churchill Downs. 

Bravazo has three wins in his career, but an eighth-place finish in the Louisiana Derby to go along with the sixth-place mark at the Kentucky Derby doesn’t seem too promising.

While Lone Sailor only has one victory in his career, he has the best recent finish between him and Bravazo, as he took second at the Louisiana Derby. 

Although they aren’t the best horses in the field, don’t be surprised if Bravazo or Lone Sailor attempt to put pressure on the favorites in order to try to spring a surprise result after mediocre finishes in their last few races. 

        

Follow Joe on Twitter, @JTansey90

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May 17, 2018 at 06:13AM

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